By Tom Suhrbur
This year is likely to be the most important election in our nation’s history since 1932. The stakes are extremely high. Far right politicians — backed by wealthy conservative donors now dominate the Republican Party agenda. They are now poised to retake control over the federal government.
If the Republicans win in November, their agenda has been clearly expressed as witnessed by the presidential candidates debates and the legislation passed since 2010 in states that are under Republican control such as Wisconsin, Michigan, Ohio, Texas and Indiana. It includes the following items: Cutting taxes, especially for corporations and the wealthy; deregulation of corporations and banking; raising the retirement age and cutting the benefits of Social Security; privatization of government services including Social Security, Medicare and public education; sharply reducing environmental and workplace safety standards; expanding free trade agreements; reducing enforcement of civil rights laws for gays and minorities; making voting more difficult for low-income, elderly and students to vote; undermining union organizing and collective bargaining; repealing Obama’s health care legislation and restricting or eliminating abortion rights.
Even if a moderate conservative like Mitt Romney is the Republican presidential nominee, he will be pushed by his party to support most, if not all, of the above goals as president.
Wisconsin
Wisconsin is the first battleground in a yearlong political saga. Backed by the Koch brothers, Americans For Prosperity and a host of other right wing political groups, Governor Scott Walker ended collective bargaining for most public employees. In fact, under Act 10, the so-called “Budget Repair Bill,” Wisconsin has the most draconian anti-union laws in the nation. Public employee unions are now required to have annual certification elections in which 51 percent — not a simple majority — of all employees must vote for union representation.
In an 850 member bargaining unit, a simple majority is 426 votes, but 51 percent is 434. If a person fails to vote for whatever reason — sickness, forgetfulness or otherwise, it is, in effect, a ‘no’ vote. Moreover, unions must pay the state to conduct the annual certification elections. Fair share (agency fee), payroll deduction of union dues and grievance procedures ending in binding arbitration are now outlawed. The list of prohibited subjects of bargaining is so inclusive that it basically ends the ability of a certified union to negotiate on behalf of its members.
Act 10 is the anti-union wish list of the American Legislative Exchange Council (ALEC). ALEC is a national organization of lobbyists, think tanks, business executives, elected Republican officials and various conservative groups. It meets annually and prepares legislation for conservative officials to introduce to their respective legislative bodies.
Act 10 is the greatest achievement of ALEC and a template for others to follow. That is why the efforts to recall Gov. Walker this year are especially important. The recall movement has compiled enough signatures to recall the governor. The recall movement needed 540,000; it collected 1,000,000 signatures to recall the governor. The recall movement also filed petitions to remove Lt. Governor Kleefisch and four Republican state senators including the majority leader.
Recall elections may be held as early as June. If the recall succeeds, it will send shock waves among Republicans and will inspire progressives across the nation to rally against the right wing agenda. If you want to contribute to these efforts, contact: www.wisdems.org/RecallHQ.
Occupy Wall Street
Another key to the 2012 election is the Occupy Wall Street (OWS) movement. OWS has successfully raised public concern about the growing economic inequality and the power of corporation elites over governmental institutions. What remains to be seen is whether OWS will emerge as a powerful political force in the November election, as did the Tea Party in 2010.
Fox and Friends, Rush Limbaugh, Newt Gingrich and other right-wingers recognize that OWS is a threat to their political goals. That is why they are trying to trivialize the OWS as a bunch of young unemployed, lazy neo-hippies who just want to smoke dope and have their student loans forgiven. This is a gross misrepresentation of OWS. There are many students but also union members, senior citizens, Gulf War vets and people with good paying jobs who share a concern about the growing inequality in America. OWS has the potential to become a mass movement that could turn the U.S. in a progressive direction.
OWS will remain non-partisan and rightly so. Instead of endorsing candidates, it needs to focus on progressive reforms. Will OWS coalesce as a national movement with clearly articulated political objectives? Will it be able to mobilize voters across the nation to support a progressive agenda? If the answer is ‘yes’ to these questions, OWS might reverse the descent towards corporate plutocracy.
To accomplish this objective, OWS must organize a coalition of labor, environmental, students, women, minorities and other progressive organizations. OWS must overcome the deep cynicism that many voters feel about our political system that discourages political participation. If OWS is going to make a difference in this critical election year, it must articulate a vision of hope for a just and more democratic society.
Voter Turnout
The size of the voter turnout will likely determine the outcome of the November election. In 2010, Republicans swept into office in many Democratic-leaning states and took over the U.S. House in a low-turnout election. Large turnouts generally favor Democratic candidates. Realizing this fact, many Republican-controlled state governments have passed voter identification legislation under the guise of preventing fraud even though there is very little evidence that fraudulent ballots are being cast. If there is widespread fraud, why have these states failed to investigate and prosecute the offenders? The real purpose of these laws is to make it more difficult for the elderly, young and low-income voters to participate. Coupled with these voter suppression laws is the post-census redistricting of legislative districts that followed the 2010 Republican election victory; Democrats have a very difficult road ahead.
To counteract the Republican efforts to limit voting, progressives need to organize voter registration campaigns and voter assistance in states that have passed voter ID laws.
November 2012
The Republican Party has moved further to the right since 2008. The Bush Administration’s conservative policies ended in total disaster. Instead of rejecting the failed policies of the Bush years, the Republican Party leadership has doubled down in calling for more of the same. In the recent Republican presidential debates, all the candidates claim the conservative mantle and often attack each other for being politically moderate.
If Republicans win in 2012, they will regain complete control of the federal government that they enjoyed under George W. Bush. The House is already solidly Republican. At least 22 Democratic senators will not seek re-election this November. Republicans need to win only four more seats to control the Senate. In addition, a Republican president will likely have the opportunity to appoint numerous federal justices and at least two Supreme Court judges, moving the federal courts even further to the right. The Supreme Court will have a solid conservative, anti-union majority for years to come.
The 2012 election will be a pivotal event shaping America’s future. It may be too much to expect that Obama will be the transformational progressive that we wanted. The money power of the corporate elite will continue to have an inordinate sway over government. The Citizens United decision ensures that wealthy donors for both parties will control the media messaging. Nevertheless, Obama will be a hedge against the more extreme conservative elites such as the Koch Brothers, DeVos Family, Richard Mellon Scaife and others who want to privatize and de-unionize the economy. However, if unions and middle-class progressives organize a mass movement, demanding a more just and democratic society, a re-elected Obama administration may respond accordingly.
Tom Suhrbur currently is the Vice President of the Illinois Labor History Society. He recently retired after 26 years as a union organizer for the Illinois Education Association. Prior to his work with IEA, he taught social studies for 17 years. His last teaching job was at Geneva High School. Suhrbur also co-authored the book “Union Brotherhood, Union Town: The History of the Chicago Carpenters’ Union, 1863-1987.”